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3-Point Stance: ACC WR Tiers, Coordinators on the Hot Seat, More Arch Manning

3-Point Stance - AT Perry

3-Point Stance - AT Perry

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Rivals National Columnist Mike Farrell is here with the 3-Point Stance ranking the WR tiers in the ACC, looks at five coordinators who are on a legit hot seat, and five reasons why Arch Manning isn’t the No. 1 player in the country.[/vc_column_text][vc_separator][vc_column_text]— Let’s continue to roll through the WR tiers with the ACC including Notre Dame.

Elite: Clemson, North Carolina, Wake Forest, Virginia

Clemson's passing game was down a lot last year, but that wasn't due to lack of receiving talent. Even without Justyn Ross, they've still got tons of talent on the roster, starting with Joseph Ngata, who is a great deep threat. Beaux Collins is a former top-100 recruit who started to come in to his own last year, and with improved quarterback play could be a really good one. Brannon Spector operates in the Hunter Renfroe role in the slot and does it well, and with more size than we're used to seeing there. Former four-stars Dacari Collins and EJ Williams both have lots of upside, as does true freshman Antonio Williams.

The Tar Heels are home to arguably the best wide receiver in the conference in Josh Downs, who, despite constant double teams, is always seemingly open. He returns after putting up over 1,300 yards as a sophomore in 2021. Senior Antoine Green was second on the team last season behind Downs in receiving and he's a very good number two for that offense. Freshman Andre Greene Jr. is the biggest x-factor though in Chapel Hill - he was a very high four-star in this past cycle and could help put the Tar Heels over the top.

With all of the (justified) hoopla surrounding Sam Hartman last season, it was easy to overlook just how good Wake Forest's receivers were. So even though Jaquarii Roberson is off to the NFL, this unit is still outstanding. AT Perry is the best receiver in the country that no one talks about - he finished 2021 just shy of 1,300 yards and with 15 TDs. Taylor Morin is outstanding in the slot and should see more targets this season than he did last year. Sophomore Donovan Greene is someone the staff has really high hopes for, and he looked good in spring ball. Sophomores Jahmal Banks and Ke'Shawn Williams should also be bigger factors this fall.

The Cavaliers bring back a ton of production from last year's team, starting with Dontayvion Wicks, who had over 1,200 yards and 9 TD's last season. Keytaon Thompson, Billy Kemp, and Malachi Fields all also got a lot of reps and proven to be valuable assets during the season as well. Wisconsin transfer Devin Chandler has a ton of value in the return game and could be an explosive player out of the slot for new coach Tony Elliott.

Good but not Great: Boston College, NC State, Virginia

The Eagles bring back three of their top four players, including 2020 All-American Zay Flowers. He, Jaelen Gill, and Jaden Williams form a solid threesome for quarterback Phil Jurkovec. True freshman Joseph Griffin is a name to keep an eye out for in the future - he's got a huge frame at 6'4", and the former four-star has a serious chance to see the field this year.

NC State lost 2021's top performer Emeka Emezie, but brings back almost everyone else from last year's team at the receiver position. Thayer Thomas is expected to step up and be the number one target, while Devin Carter is a solid option as a possession receiver. Maryland Transfer Darryl Jones should have an opportunity to start as well, while Anthony Smith and Porter Rooks are intriguing development candidates.

That'll Do: Florida State, Miami, Notre Dame, Pittsburgh, Syracuse

Last year's passing attack for the Seminoles was pretty rough - no receiver even hit the 400-yard mark for the season. But Florida State did a nice job getting Mycah Pittman from Oregon in the transfer portal, and he should immediately step in to be the number one guy on their roster. Ja'khi Douglas has an intriguing skillset, and he's the guy I would look to to have a breakout fall operating out of the slot. Malik McClain is another guy to watch out for - the 6'5" sophomore had a big spring and is in line to start this fall. Ontaria Wilson was the most productive of all their returning guys this season, but I think that his ceiling is significantly lower than that of Pittman, Douglas, and McClain.

Miami is hoping that Clemson transfer Frank Ladson can have a Charleston Rambo-like impact for the Hurricanes this fall, because they're without almost all of their top receivers from last season. Key'Shawn Smith got a lot of reps as a true freshman in 2021 and looks like he's ready for a breakout year as a sophomore. Fellow sophomore Xaiver Restrepo had a big spring, and JUCO transfer Colbie Young has some intriguing upside.

If we were including tight ends, Notre Dame would obviously skyrocket because of the presence of Michael Mayer, but without him, they're a very unproven group. Their top returner is Avery Davis, who is expected to be the number one guy for them this year, They have some intriguing young guys in former four-stars Lorenzo Styles and Jayden Thomas set to start as well, and their skillsets are very complimentary. 2022 four-star Tobias Merriweather is a kid who has a really high ceiling as well.

Losing Jordan Addison was a massive blow for Pittsburgh, as he's a guy who singlehandedly brought them up to elite status. Without him though they're still an okay unit, led by Jared Wayne, who won't wow you with anything but is a steady presence on the outside. Jaylon Barden is expected to have a much bigger role this season, and Akron transfer Konata Mumpfield should be able to assimilate very quickly into their offense.

Syracuse brings back most of their top guys from last season. The only problem is that they were not very effective in the passing game in 2021. Courtney Jackson is their top player from last year's team and he's far and away their most consistent guy at the position. Damien Alford had a very nice true freshman season and should be good for a bump in production as a sophomore. Isaiah Jones had a huge spring and is in line for a starting spot this fall.

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Cross Your Fingers and Pray: Duke, Georgia Tech, Louisville, Virginia Tech

Like they were at the running back position, Duke lacks talent and depth at the wide receiver position, especially with the loss of Jake Bobo. Jalon Calhoun brings back the most experience with him on the team, and he finished second on the Blue Devils with 718 yards receiving last season. After him, Eli Pancol and Darrell Harding are both seniors who are hoping to finally break through. But it's pretty bleak for new coach Mike Elko.

Georgia Tech's receivers room isn't quite as thin as it was during the triple option years, but it's not that much better either. Malachi Carter returns as the unquestioned leader of their unit, but there's not a lot of proven guys behind him. Kalani Norris and Nate McCollum are the presumed starters next to him, but Carter has more catches, yards, and touchdowns than all the other receivers on the roster combined.

The Cardinals lost Tyler Harrell to Alabama in the portal and that really hurt them, as he was slated to be their top guy this fall. Now, Louisville has to rely on transfers Tyler Hudson (Central Arkansas) and Dee Wiggins (Miami) to step in and fill the gap. Ahmari Huggins-Bruce is the only returning guy with any real experience.

The Hokies lost their top receiver to an SEC team in the portal as well, with Tayvion Robinson heading to Kentucky. Kaleb Smith is the only player returning with any significant experience out wide for Virginia Tech, but Temple transfer Jadan Blue should help fill in that experience gap.[/vc_column_text][vc_separator][vc_column_text]— Tuesday I looked at five coordinators who are under pressure, some of them brand new to their gigs like Jeff Lebby at Oklahoma and Josh Gattis at Miami. Today we look at guys who could legit lose their jobs if things don’t go well.

Kyle Flood, Texas

It's put up or shut up time in Texas with Quinn Ewers now behind center. The Longhorns' offense worked in bits and spurts last year, but now with the former five-star taking snaps and much OL help coming, Flood has zero excuses to not have a top-of-the-line offense in Austin.

Brian Ferentz, Iowa

I know, I know, this is never going to happen - he's the son of the head coach, and he's not going to get fired by his dad. But listen to any Iowa fan and they will tell you just how inept Ferentz's offenses are. Considering the recruiting run that the Hawkeyes are on if they're ever going to capitalize on the talent they have on hand, they're going to need a change at offensive coordinator. In five seasons as the OC, Iowa has never finished better than 87th in the nation in total offense and finished 2021 121st out of 130 FBS teams.

Darrell Dickey, Texas A&M

Like Ferentz, Dickey is going to have the heat turned up on him because of an influx in talent via recruiting, as well as getting a new transfer quarterback like Flood. Dickey has been the OC since 2018 for Texas A&M, and while there have been some solid offenses, none of them have been good enough to break through in the SEC West and make it to the SEC title game. If he's ever going to do it, this is the year.

Bill O'Brien, Alabama

This might also be a bit of a stretch, but it's not like O'Brien isn't under pressure at Alabama. Any year where the Crimson Tide does not win the national title is a wasted year in Nick Saban's mind, so if they fail to do so again, and especially if the offense regresses to a notable degree, then it's not outside the realm of possibility that O'Brien is looking for a new home. You're never safe when you're on Saban's staff.

Bill Musgrave, Cal

In each of his three seasons in Berkely, Musgrave's defense has gotten worse, which is particularly alarming since their head coach, Justin Wilcox, is a certified defensive mastermind. It's a bit of a shock that he's still around considering just how much they've fallen off on defense. If they're not back to the top of the conference, I highly doubt Musgrave returns in 2023.[/vc_column_text][vc_separator][vc_column_text]— I’ll continue my look at the top commits in each conference next Tuesday but for now this Arch Manning thing won’t die. So here’s why he’s not the No. 1 player in the country.

1. He’s not dominating average competition

Arch puts up solid numbers against very average competition but you honestly want more. More than 6,000 yards passing and 81 touchdowns in three seasons is solid but 18 interceptions leaves you wanting more and there is just a feeling he could be more dominant.

2. He struggled badly when competition stepped up

That playoff game. Lafayette Christian Academy is a solid program but let’s not confuse them with the best of the best in the nation. The 49-7 blowout loss in the playoff semifinals last season wasn’t Manning’s fault, his team was just outmatched. But 6 for 17 for 52 yards and an interception leaves you wanting much more and he struggled under duress.

3. He lacks that wow factor on film

I’ve seen five stars. I thought Arch was a five star at first. But then I realized I was including the last name the more I watched him. Trevor Lawrence, Josh Rosen, Bryce Young and others popped off the film. Vince Young, Terrelle Pryor and others were magnificent athletes. Arch is good, he’s very good. He’s a good athlete with excellent accuracy and touch. But nothing wows you. Five stars should wow.

4. He hasn’t stepped up his game a ton

He had a really good season as a freshman and freshmen QBs don’t start at Isidore Newman. And he’s been good since but hasn’t taken that next step I expected. Is this Matt Barkley I’m seeing? That’s my question.

5. This QB class is loaded

The No. 1 debate is between USC commit Malachi Nelson and Oregon commit Dante Moore to me. And after them there are probably 4-5 quarterbacks you could argue are better than Arch. This is one of the best QB classes I’ve seen in awhile from top to the middle and that doesn’t help his push for No. 1.[/vc_column_text][/vc_column][/vc_row]