By Staff
The Denver Broncos wrapped up the 2024 season with a respectable 10-7 record, securing third place in the AFC West. While they demonstrated moments of brilliance, consistency proved to be a challenge, particularly when facing powerhouses like Kansas City and Los Angeles. Despite boasting an efficient offense and a bolstered defense, the team’s performance was marked by inconsistency, swinging between impressive highs and disappointing lows.
However, with a clearer understanding of their strengths and weaknesses, bettors now have the opportunity to refine their strategy for the 2025 season. By analyzing these insights, you can sharpen your approach and make more informed decisions.
Here’s the essential information to help you enhance your Denver Broncos betting strategy and capitalize on their potential in the upcoming season.
Broncos’ 2024 Performance: A Mixed Bag
Denver’s offense made strides in 2024, averaging 25.0 points per game, ranking 10th in the league. Rookie quarterback Bo Nix showed promise with 3,775 passing yards and 29 touchdowns, though his QBR of 57.7 highlighted room for improvement. Courtland Sutton remained the top receiving target, hauling in 81 receptions for 1,081 yards and eight scores. The ground game, however, lacked punch. Javonte Williams led the rushing attack with just 513 yards, and Denver finished 16th in rushing yards per game.
Defensively, the Broncos were strong, allowing only 18.3 points per game. Brandon Jones led the team with 115 tackles, while Nik Bonitto provided a pass-rush spark with 13.5 sacks. Pat Surtain II continued to be a shutdown presence, recording four interceptions and 11 passes defended. Denver’s defense kept them competitive in close games, but their offensive struggles made it difficult to capitalize.
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Betting Takeaways from 2024
The Broncos had an up-and-down season, showing flashes of dominance but struggling with consistency. Their defense kept them competitive, while the offense had both promising moments and frustrating limitations. These trends created key betting patterns that can help shape smarter wagers moving forward.
1. Spread Betting: Favorable Against Lower-Tier Teams
Denver performed well against teams with subpar offenses but struggled against elite competition. Their defense kept them in games, making them a strong option when favored against weaker opponents. However, against top-tier teams, their offense often failed to match the efforts of the defense.
2. Totals Betting: The Under Was Often Profitable
With an offense that ranked outside the top 15 in both passing and rushing yards, the Broncos had several low-scoring contests. However, the defense held up its end, ranking among the best in points allowed. Games against high-powered offenses leaned over, but against average teams, Denver’s ability to control the tempo kept totals under.
Monitoring NFL team updates such as offensive scheme changes or key player absences, could provide an edge when betting on totals in the upcoming season.
3. Player Props: Courtland Sutton and Nik Bonitto Were Reliable
Sutton was a consistent receiving threat, averaging over 63.5yards per game. He hit 50+ yards in most matchups, making his yardage prop a solid play. On defense, Bonitto’s 13.5 sacks made him a strong bet for sack props, especially against teams with weak offensive lines.
2025 Betting Strategies
With a solid defensive foundation and an offense looking to improve, the Broncos could present new opportunities for bettors in 2025. Understanding their strengths, weaknesses, and potential adjustments will be crucial in determining where the best value lies.
1. Monitor Bo Nix’s Development
Nix had an up-and-down rookie year, but with a full offseason, he could take a leap forward. If his efficiency improves, Denver’s offense could open up, making them a better bet on overs. Until then, expect growing pains and lean on the defense to dictate game flow.
2. Look for Improved Rushing Production
The run game was underwhelming, forcing Denver into a pass-heavy approach. If the offensive line improves and Williams gets back to form, Denver could become a more balanced team. This would help in matchups against weaker run defenses, making rushing props and unders more appealing.
3. Bet on Denver as Home Favorites
The Broncos’ defense played well at home, and their ability to limit scoring gives them an edge against struggling offenses. Betting them as favorites against weaker teams should continue to be a winning strategy. For those betting on the Denver Broncos odds home matchups against teams with inconsistent offenses could provide value, especially if the spread is reasonable.
4. Fade Denver in High-Scoring Matchups
Against elite offenses, Denver’s inability to keep up was evident. In 2025, unless their passing game significantly improves, betting against them in high-scoring matchups could be profitable.
Betting Strategies for Success
Denver showed promise in 2024 but had clear limitations. Their defense kept them competitive, but the offense needs to take the next step. Bettors should focus on their strengths—leaning on the under in defensive matchups, backing them as favorites at home, and targeting player props for Sutton and Bonitto. If Nix improves, Denver could be a sneaky team to watch, but until then, their ceiling remains limited.
