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Fault or Fluke: Florida’s Losing Season, Quinn Ewers’ Average Season, Clemson and the CFP

Mike Farrell determines if Billy Napier’s losing record was a fluke of if something bigger is happening…

Mike Farrell| March 9, 2023 (Updated: July 9, 2025)
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Sep 24
Sep 24

In an exciting new feature on the site I take a dive into whether a disappointment (player, coach, team, whatever) is FAULT or FLUKE You’ll figure it out.


1. Florida’s losing season.

FAULT

Billy Napier didn’t inherit a ton at Florida, as it was kind of a mess with Dan Mullen mailing in recruiting and some poor coaches not getting players to the next level. But with a dynamic talent like Anthony Richardson, I expected a better offensive approach. Richardson ran for more than 600 yards but I never felt his rushing ability was as big a threat as it could have been. In the games, he couldn’t get a passing rhythm, and I wanted a little more creative offensive gameplan. The defense was up and down, but in a few losses they kept the team in position to win, but the offense just became too inconsistent for my tastes.

Sep 3, 2022; Gainesville, Florida, USA; Florida Gators head coach Billy Napier talks with quarterback Anthony Richardson (15) during the second quarter at Steve Spurrier-Florida Field. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

2. Quinn Ewers’ average year.

FLUKE

He was very impressive against Alabama, but a shoulder injury (even on his nonthrowing arm) hindered his development a bit. He had some good games and some awful ones, as can be expected in his first season of college football. But his low completion rate (below 60%) and average TD-to-interception rate (15 to 6) belie his abilities. He will have a monster year this season if he stays healthy.

Sep 3, 2022; Austin, Texas, USA; Texas Longhorns quarterback Quinn Ewers (3) throws a pass against the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks in the second half at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Scott Wachter-USA TODAY Sports

3. Clemson’s lack of recent playoff appearances.

FAULT

I like Dabo Swinney, and what he’s done at Clemson is remarkable. But the recent playoff drought, I have to say, is more FAULT than FLUKE. The ACC is not good, and it’s easy to maneuver for a team with Clemson’s ability, and in conference losses to NC State and Pitt have hurt them. Maybe a loss to Notre Dame is acceptable, but the loss to South Carolina just can’t happen. The ACC will be tougher this season with Florida State a threat, so you wonder if we’ve seen the last of Clemson in the playoff until it gets expanded.

Clemson head coach Dabo Swinney is interviewed by ESPN near quarterback Cade Klubnik (2), game MVP, after the game with North Carolina in the ACC Championship football gameat Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, North Carolina Saturday, Dec 3, 2022. Clemson won 39-10.

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Category: College FootballTag: Billy Napier, Dabo Swinney, Florida Gators, Mike Farrell, Texas Longhorns
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